While speculation is already in progress What movies will seem to be launching their award campaigns under Upcoming autumn film festivalsHere is something worth remembering: the last four best picture winners, quite special, premiere before running an autumn festival.
In other words, the audience may have already seen the next film that will win big on Oscar.
By looking at the current crop of wide emissions, Requence Bias has already laid “F1: The movie“In many, a best image pre -pregnancy lists, given its warm critical answers mixed with the somewhat exceeding expectations of opening the weekend.
But in the end, it can be to the disadvantage of the film, as the Tom Cruise-led Legacy sequel set a very high bar. Still, there is definitely a way for the competition film to at least also pick up a best healthy nomination. Getting the best visual effects and nominations of best film editing as the predecessor is also on the table, if the film should take up enough steam to stay in the awards ceremony through the rest of the summer. And although the soundtrack has no cuts memorable enough to guarantee the best original song Buzz, Hans Zimmer, as always, is in the mix for best original points.
However, the real craft category that can prove to be a more viable challenger is the best film. The way in which director Joseph Kosinski and Kinematographer Claudio Miranda Capture Racing is outstanding (plus Oscar winner Miranda did not the average for “Top Gun: Maverick” 2023 was Generally seen as a huge stump.)
While ”F1: The movie “is another success that should get more films that use existing IP to tell an original story, it is so far not on track against being a real box office phenomenon as” Barbie “, so a best image nomination is not as inevitable. But, never when a movie has Apple Studios as its support. Best Image Profit for “Coda” remains a remarkable performance, but upcoming films from Spike Lee and Paul Greengrass are likely to be more prioritized for Streamer in the coming awards.
Sony Pictures release “28 years later” is of a similar ILK, but comes from an even more impressive pedigree. Its Helmer Danny Boyle has already won Oscar for best director for “Slumdog Millionaire”, and author Alex Garland has been nominated for the best original script before and has since brought with it Oscar-winning films such as “Ex Machina.” Connect it with “28 years later” as another well -reviewed, well -visited inheritance followers, and we have another blockbuster with moderate best image buzz.
Several horror films from last year received Oscar nominations, which are good for the zombie movie’s price chances, especially in craft competitions such as best makeup and hairstyle, best production design and best visual effects.
If there is an element in the film that can prevent it from fighting in the above categories, it is that “28 years later” has already been announced as the first film in an upcoming trilogy. As “Dune” has shown, when there are more films that still come, there is not so much incentive to assign the first chapter.
“28 years later” is also a Sony Pictures movie, which has not been much of an Oscar challenger at the end of (Sony Pictures Classics excluded), and the studio could take a closer look at Darren Aronofsky’s “Caught Step” and Kogonada’s “A Big away Beautiful Journe” Like its Oscar when its aunty game.
Ends on a more optimistic note, one blockbuster so far this year that actually has a shot on a best picture nomination is Ryan Cooglers ”Sinner. “These chances are still due to how much its studio, Warner Bros. Pictures, will be behind it.
Three out of four of the “Black Panther” director’s previous films were nominated for Oscars, but his only two Oscar nominations have been to produce “Judas and the Black Messiah” and co -written an original song to “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.” The fact that he was able to HERDA an original film that maintained his author’s vision, while encouraging more respect for genre film creation and interest in screening formats, is therefore he can finally secure the best director and best original script nominations.
“Sinners” to get some actors nominations will prove to be something of a harder path, although Michael B. Jordan successfully plays twins (and being a key producer in the project) makes a strong best actor. Hailee Steinfeld and Wunmi Mosaku also provide memorable performances, where the latter has already been a best supportive actress nominated before, but the couple would have to count on not sharing voices and not overshadowed by other performances that are on the way (for example Cannes Grand Prix winner “Sentimental Value” has acclaimed support performances from both Elle Fanning and Inbsdotter Lilleaas).

Where the movie really shines is below the line, even a good candidate for the new best casting Oscar, as it has an inspired mix of veterans like Delroy Lindo along with newcomers like Miles Caton. But the absolute best pictures are for best original points and best original songs, both involved twice the Oscar winner Ludwig Göransson. Even only in view of the effects of its centerpiece musical assemblyThere is nothing in the movie release pipeline that looks like it can insert “sinners” in these two categories, especially since the film receives a release in October, during the Prime Award campaign time.
The part that becomes difficult for “sinners” is true for all the movies that strive for prices: studios are really just good at doing a Bid for best picture. The last five years have only seen one studio see more than one of their movies doing cut. Given WB Chiefs Michael de Luca and Pamela Abdy’s redemption history this spring, where they were On the verge of being dismissed Right before they release two of the three current highest emerging films, plus their position in the academy (Abdy is currently at Board member,) Maybe primary Oscar voters not to be as strict in spreading wealth.
Spouse or break torque for warners? About Paul Thomas Anderson’s “one battle after another” is a success. The “licorice pizza” film creator has had an even longer line than Coogler so as not to win an Oscar, although most of his nine films have received nominations.
It is still unclear if the movie, which plays Oscar winner Leonardo DiCaprio, will have a flashy festival premiere that would give it the extra award Juice, but even if it only gets critical praise and not so much Box Office success, it would still put “sinners” on more of a backburner, just next to Bong Joon’s “Mickey 17. ”
Yes, there bark Be room for both, but about Warner Bros. Images must double and say that they only have the highest original film of the year in “Sinners” and finally Anderson got an Oscar with “a battle after another”, there are still two big winnings for the recovery studio.